Federal Election 2010: Republican Odds Of Control On The Rise

By Richard West on August 31, 2010, 3:36 pm

A wave of anti-incumbent sentiment combined with a stagnant economy could signal a public desire to change the policies of the current administration. Members of the Republican Party enter the post Labor Day election cycle with hopes of major victory possibly winning back the Senate and the House. The Democrats are not easily convinced. Democrats claim it would be a mistake to return to the policies that led to the economic downfall. This year the election is shaping up to be a violent cycle and an interesting election.

Potential Wins for the Republican Party

In the Senate, the Democrats will retain 40 seats while 19 seats will be under contest. The Republicans will have 18 of 41 seats to be decided. It appears to be an equal race so far. A total of 9 seats are currently up for grabs by either party and could end with a 50 seat Senate split. This would be a big win for the Republican Party and cause the Senate Democrats to lose a majority.

The House is also severely contested, as the voters will decide all 435 seats. Currently the Democratic Party still maintains a slight lead with the populace leaning to elect 228 Democratic Representatives. This would be sufficient to maintain the necessary majority to pass legislation. However, the legislation must also pass Senate vote. A loss of Senate majority would cause legislation to be filibustered.

Polls Favor The Republican Party

The latest Rasmussen Poll reports the public trusts the Republicans in Congress to deal with 10 popular issues more than Democrats. The issues include items such as the economy, the deficit, health care and education. This is almost a complete reversal from public views when the Obama Administration first took office. The recent Gallup Poll shows a 10 percent advantage going to the Republican Party in the midterm elections. August polling for the administration has also been unkind. The public is not as supportive of the President and his policies as when he first took office.

 

Cause For The Trends In Public Opinion

The number one cause for the shift in public opinion could be the economy and the deficit. The growth initially promised by the current administration has not met public expectations. The public sector appears to be apprehensive when hiring new employees and this may be partially due to the increasing deficit. Companies do not want to hire when tax increases are inevitable. September and October will be interesting months as Congressional representatives seek re-election. However, it will be the voters that make the final decision.

Related posts:

1. Election 2010: Repubs May Get House, Must Fight For Senate
2. Republican Party Gaining Strength As They Show A United Front
3. Unemployment And Economy: Boehner Says Dem Move On Taxes Irresponsible
4. Republican Party: Eye On The Prize – Winning America’s Confidence
5. Obama Business Supporters Disappointed over Tax Cut Delay

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